As someone that predicted the result of the UK’s Referendum in June, I would never rule out a Trump victory despite claims of a 99% chance of a victory for Clinton. In fact, the same rhetoric was used in a number of British newspapers, Brexit was never going to happen.
But Brexit did happen, despite endless warnings from economists, businesses, financial institutes and Barack Obama. The Government even posted there own reasons for voting to remain through the letterboxes of millions of homeowners. Did the Leave campaign have a solid, robust plan? No, but the people still voted to leave the European Union.
And what of the polls that so many rely on? The polls that consistently predicted the UK would remain a member of the EU?
Attitudes are shifting in this year’s Presidential election, with both candidates an unpopular choice amongst some, people are voting out of anger towards the other. This of course could work in Clinton’s favour, given the Hispanic communities’ distaste for Trump.
But there remains a large portion of Americans who feel left behind in the age of globalisation, towns have lost their mining industries and are growing sick and tired of career politicians offering little hope for their futures, an angry vote against the elite.
And despite Trump’s controversies, his message brings hope to millions of Americans even amongst those that would never publicly endorse him.
But when push comes to shove, are American’s going to assume a Clinton victory and not bother to vote at all? Or perhaps their distaste for both candidates will leave them with the same feeling.
And just like the Brexit fiasco, the passionate voters will turn up in swarms waiting to cast their vote against the establishment.
If Trump does win tomorrow’s election, those buying US Dollars with Sterling may find themselves in much more favourable territory.